My two cents- he is a four and a half or better. Just like we all won't grow into 6' 6" 320# linebackers, not all deer are going to eventually dress 250. One of my best archery deer was at least 5 1/2, grey muzzled and swaybacked and dressed 165 lbs. This is off the same farm where I have shot 225 lb field dressed 3 1/2 year olds. Each buck is an individual, and the distinct "roman nose" shows some age, he will look like a completely different animal come October 20th.