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Record Farm Auction

Elitebowhunter

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Can you imagine spending millions?


(Griswold) A piece of bare farmland land located near Griswold brought a record setting price last week.

Steve Bergren, of Bergren Real Estate and Auction, of Griswold, sold a 156-taxable acre, 152.4 cropland acre, 85 CSR ridge farm southeast of Griswold for $13,500.00 an acre.

“This is just as good a farm as you would find anywhere in the United States or Iowa for sure,” stated Bergren, who admits the farmland market remains very strong, but the price of this one surprised him and many others.

“I’ll tell you what…we had a good farm <nobr>machinery auction</nobr> a couple of weeks ago too, and anything that is good today is awfully hard to appraise until you sell it, honestly,” said Bergren. “This farm could have appraised for $11,000 to $12,000, but the price really surprised me and everyone else.”

Bergren cites low level <nobr>interest rates</nobr>, and high grain prices for the continued strength in the market. And he says there is still a lot of money left over from last year. And the drought doesn’t seem to be a factor, at least this year. So the million dollar question is how long will land values <nobr>continue</nobr> to climb.

“You know we thought two or three years ago we hit the peak, but it continues to creep up 20-percent or more a year,” said Bergren, adding a warning. “Everything has a top to it…it can’t keep going up forever.”

Meanwhile, not all farmland is bringing that price. On that same day, Bergren sold the high dollar farm; he auctioned off an unimproved hill farm with no-terraces, no tile and some wasteland for $6,000.00 an acre.

Bergren has a lot of farmland listings coming up for sale in October. One reason for the increased seller inventory maybe to beat the possible change in the Capital Gains rate that are expected to go into effect in 2013.

And who is buying this high priced dirt? Bergren says he has sold 6 farms in the last couple of weeks all going to farmers but one, which was purchased by an investor.
 
Can you imagine spending millions?


(Griswold) A piece of bare farmland land located near Griswold brought a record setting price last week.

Steve Bergren, of Bergren Real Estate and Auction, of Griswold, sold a 156-taxable acre, 152.4 cropland acre, 85 CSR ridge farm southeast of Griswold for $13,500.00 an acre.

“This is just as good a farm as you would find anywhere in the United States or Iowa for sure,” stated Bergren, who admits the farmland market remains very strong, but the price of this one surprised him and many others.

“I’ll tell you what…we had a good farm <NOBR>machinery auction</NOBR> a couple of weeks ago too, and anything that is good today is awfully hard to appraise until you sell it, honestly,” said Bergren. “This farm could have appraised for $11,000 to $12,000, but the price really surprised me and everyone else.”

Bergren cites low level <NOBR>interest rates</NOBR>, and high grain prices for the continued strength in the market. And he says there is still a lot of money left over from last year. And the drought doesn’t seem to be a factor, at least this year. So the million dollar question is how long will land values <NOBR>continue</NOBR> to climb.

“You know we thought two or three years ago we hit the peak, but it continues to creep up 20-percent or more a year,” said Bergren, adding a warning. “Everything has a top to it…it can’t keep going up forever.”

Meanwhile, not all farmland is bringing that price. On that same day, Bergren sold the high dollar farm; he auctioned off an unimproved hill farm with no-terraces, no tile and some wasteland for $6,000.00 an acre.

Bergren has a lot of farmland listings coming up for sale in October. One reason for the increased seller inventory maybe to beat the possible change in the Capital Gains rate that are expected to go into effect in 2013.

And who is buying this high priced dirt? Bergren says he has sold 6 farms in the last couple of weeks all going to farmers but one, which was purchased by an investor.

Over 2 million for a 1/4 of land, wow!!
 
It will come down a little eventually but it will never return to lows seen in the 80's. With the use of corn at an all time high and a growing world population, land will remain a key asset (this relies heavily on ethanol mandates). The main reason for my opinion, they aren't making more land. Most of the high sales that we've seen is due to land that is 'connected to the back 80' or right across the road and historically land only sells once every 75-100 years. To some guys it wouldn't matter what the price was, they will buy it and never let go of it. They see land as insurance policy for future generations. If their kid isn't able to be a doctor or a lawyer, at least he/she has a back-up career as a farmer or landlord. With farmers balance sheets showing more equity today than in the 80's, they are able to mortgage their paid-off ground to secure the 'high-priced' purchase, while still remaining at a conservative leverage position if the so called 'bubble' burst. But that is just my opinion! :drink2:
 
It will come down a little eventually but it will never return to lows seen in the 80's. With the use of corn at an all time high and a growing world population, land will remain a key asset (this relies heavily on ethanol mandates). The main reason for my opinion, they aren't making more land. Most of the high sales that we've seen is due to land that is 'connected to the back 80' or right across the road and historically land only sells once every 75-100 years. To some guys it wouldn't matter what the price was, they will buy it and never let go of it. They see land as insurance policy for future generations. If their kid isn't able to be a doctor or a lawyer, at least he/she has a back-up career as a farmer or landlord. With farmers balance sheets showing more equity today than in the 80's, they are able to mortgage their paid-off ground to secure the 'high-priced' purchase, while still remaining at a conservative leverage position if the so called 'bubble' burst. But that is just my opinion! :drink2:
I agree to certain extent, but they said the same thing about lakeshore in MN. They aren't making any more of it, then it dropped 40-50% in value in some areas.

If corn prices drop to $4 a bushel, land prices will go down. Will they crash "probably not" but they will trend lower. How will the market react next year if we have 90 million acres of corn in production and we have a good to normal yield?

This year was a major drought all over, yet we are projected to have corn yield that is higher than the mid to early 1990's. We didn't have any rain in my area for 30 days, and the local farmers are still pulling in 180 bushel corn. Factor that in to the future and we may see $4-$5 corn again soon.

I think most farmers would prefer slightly lower prices, and would like to see land prices come down.
 
I agree to certain extent, but they said the same thing about lakeshore in MN. They aren't making any more of it, then it dropped 40-50% in value in some areas.

If corn prices drop to $4 a bushel, land prices will go down. Will they crash "probably not" but they will trend lower. How will the market react next year if we have 90 million acres of corn in production and we have a good to normal yield?

This year was a major drought all over, yet we are projected to have corn yield that is higher than the mid to early 1990's. We didn't have any rain in my area for 30 days, and the local farmers are still pulling in 180 bushel corn. Factor that in to the future and we may see $4-$5 corn again soon.

I think most farmers would prefer slightly lower prices, and would like to see land prices come down.
Comparing Ag production land and lakeshore property are apples and oranges, but I do agree corn price will drop drastically if we plant 96-98 million acres of corn. Some think that the price could fall below cost of production within the next 3 years. If that occurs, the value of land will go down, but the land sales will slow down too as people realize they can take a nominal yearly return (rent) and wait for prices to rise to top-dollar figures again. One other factor to watch is $18 soybeans. That could shift some of the corn on corn acres for next year to take advantage of the 'banked' soybean yields that are created by the constant corn on corn rotation. The one year that it is taken out and beans are planted, there seems to be a sizable yield bump compared to historical bean yields. So long story short I agree that land values will more than likely 'dip,' but i do not believe there is a large 'bubble' at this time. Most farmers would love 6 dollar corn and 12.75 beans. They make money and the economy can handle those prices. $18 beans and $8.50 corn isn't good for the world and farmers know it.
 
I was actually comparing the two (ag and lakeshore)...using the now famous--they aren't making any more land quote. They are both infinite, and both can and will go up and down.

If you think the amount of corn or soybeans on the market are the only factor in prices you will have to go back to 2008 when all markets, commodities/stocks/bonds/real estate all crashed as investors panicked and pulled money out of all of them.

This could very well happen again. If one or two or more countries go under, the supply and demand principle will go out window
 
Just my opinion, but people don't buy lakeshore and make a living off of it. That was my point. Lakeshore is bought for a second home/vacation destination during good economic times, whereas farmland produces an income and grows an existing operation's profit potential. Ag land prices rose during the 2008-2009 time period and investors actually put their money into ag real estate due to less risky and more consistant returns. The midwest did not feel the downturn near as bad due to the strength of the Ag sector. Grain farmers have made large amounts of money in the past 5 years. Don't kid yourself, unless we become socialistic society (not gonna get political, but lookout;)) supply and demand will remain. We are a capitalistic society and as long as that remains, supply and demand will have a very, very large impact on prices. I'm not going to argue with you any further because this is simply my honest opinion and my views. I don't claim to be an economist or any expert on ag production, but the world needs fed (demand) and we can grow a lot of grain and animal proteins (supply) and as long as supply doesn't dwarf demand, or vice versa, the price will be reasonable for suppliers and buyers and trade with the US will continue.
 
If paying cash for land...there is never too high of a price as it starts making money from day one.

That said, those loaning on these high prices may be in trouble when crop prices drop..and they will at some point.
 
The farm crisis of the 80's was due to farmers being able to get loans from banks with little to no money down. The grain market tanked and took the farmers down with it.

Right now, with the current grain prices, farmers are putting LOTS of cash down on properties and financing at record low interest rates. Night and day difference!

That said, I won't go out on a limb and say that land prices will not moderate. I do not see them crashing, though.
 
All I heard about on WHO during the week of the Farm Progress show was 300 bushel corn !!! Twelve inch rows - 50,000 plants per acre. I am not a farmer either but my family is getting very close to selling our farm after the passing of my mother (father died in '95) (multiple reasons not limited to LOTS of siblings with LOTS of different financial needs/circumstances). I am trying to not influence the overall decision other than to point out that we are getting the benefit of what looks to be a very high point historically (so far) in tillable land prices. Agriculture has made impressive productivity gains in the last decade and I wonder if or what 300 bushel corn could do to grain market prices.

Ultimately though, I have many positive attitudes about the future of ag related asset classes. Worldwide demand for food/ag based products has accelerated. I don't doubt there may be a window of retreat of land prices from current levels but I think long-term (10+ years) land will continue to be a very solid asset. In my case, I am the youngest (age 48) of eight kids and others feel it is a great time to sell.

My challenge will be how to re-invest into Ag related assets (equipment-fertilizer-chemical companies, combo farms, etc.) ?? I just hope to take my portion and create the same kind of legacy for my family as my depression-era folks did for me.

Thanks a ton Verne-Elizabeth. You two did amazing well !!:way::way:
 
BJohnson-
I too will be in that situation some day (hopefully a long time from now though). If I inherited an unincorporated interest (i.e. an 80 acre field not intertwined) with my siblings acres I will most certainly be going to the bank to use that equity to take a loan on another combination farm and continue to leverage, within a conservative approach of course, my equity to grow that land base. That is as long as income on those properties is able to offset a good portion of the P&I payments. Besides, what's the point of being cash rich anyway :D give me land that I can enjoy and still make a little return on my investment. I don't need the biggest house or the nicest truck, just a modest living with things I can enjoy.
 
When people start using the phrase "it will never" about some type of investment it's time to exit. Also letemgrow your statement about paying with cash makes price irrelevant doesn't make sense to me. Are you saying there is no alternative that you could Put the cash to use that will make you money? I personally believe there has been several events coincide with each other over the last 5 years that has driven these land prices to where they are. To letemgrows point the typical investment vehicles like stocks, bonds, CDs etc just have noT performed. If the stock market starts performing, interest rates rise and the government gets serious about our debt levels( will effect subsidies like crp and ethanol which all help prop up land prices) then look out below. If you think the 80's was the only time farmland prices saw a significant pullback then you've not seen a chart that's adjusted for inflation for prices since 1900. As someone mentioned above prices of every asset go up and down in cycles. I have a funny feeling were getting due for a pullback. How good you gonna feel about making 2-3 percent on your 13k an acre farmland when inflation rises to 4-5%? In my mind that's losing money. Fun topic. I always enjoy this debate
 
The typical investment vehicles like stocks, bonds, CDs etc just have not performed.

Yes, and this has driven the investor out of those markets, looking for a better return on investment. Farmland has been that haven. The stock market turns around, those investors might flee the ag land investments.

Funny how speculation fuels most of the markets. Sure would be nice to have a crystal ball that wasn't cloudy........ ;)
 
I was just up in Sioux county over Labor Day weekend. Lots of cattle in that area and my understanding is the need to spread manure is a significant additional driver of where some of the land prices have gone in that region. I wasn't that impressed by the lay of the land from a tillable perspective however it was very pretty country - particularly next to the Big Sioux river.
 
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